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Land trusts can promote resilience and help priority species, habitats and resources weather the effects of climate change.
Not only are climate change impacts difficult to predict, but even the causes of climate change — carbon dioxide and methane emissions — are variable, leading to uncertainties in impact scenario projections.
Scenario planning is used to develop long-term plans that are resilient under a variety of potential future conditions or scenarios. Planners consider a range of scenarios, and then select the plan that is most robust across several or all scenarios.
To respond to change and enhance the efficacy of existing conservation efforts land trusts are increasingly working to anticipate uncertainty and incorporate flexible planning tools such as scenario planning and adaptive management into their stewardship plans.